Shelby, Montana 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Shelby MT
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Shelby MT
Issued by: National Weather Service Great Falls, MT |
Updated: 3:03 pm MDT Jun 26, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Chance Showers
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Tonight
 Mostly Cloudy
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Friday
 Decreasing Clouds
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Friday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Sunday
 Sunny
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Sunday Night
 Clear
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Monday
 Sunny
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Hi 79 °F |
Lo 55 °F |
Hi 76 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 76 °F |
Lo 48 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
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This Afternoon
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. |
Tonight
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. South southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. |
Friday
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Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 76. West wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 51. West wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. West northwest wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 48. West wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 79. West northwest wind around 7 mph. |
Sunday Night
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Clear, with a low around 51. North wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. |
Monday
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Sunny, with a high near 84. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 55. |
Tuesday
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Sunny, with a high near 87. |
Tuesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. |
Wednesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. |
Thursday
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A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Shelby MT.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
117
FXUS65 KTFX 262052
AFDTFX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
252 PM MDT Thu Jun 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A few gusty showers and thunderstorms possible this afternoon
and evening.
- Gradually drying out and over the weekend with decreasing
shower activity each day.
- Temperatures rise early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
- Meteorological Overview:
An upper level shortwave trough moving through the Northern
Rockies today will kick off a few showers and thunderstorms, some
of which will bring some gusty winds up to 50 or 60 mph with the
strongest of the storms. With this said, the overall coverage and
strength of the storms remains slightly uncertain, as cloud cover
this morning and early afternoon was a bit more stubborn than
forecast, which has prevented the erosion of a cap that may
inhibit storm development across the area.
As we head into the weekend, expect shower and thunderstorm
activity to decrease as our upper level flow becomes more westerly
and eventually gives way to an upper level ridge early next week.
Temperatures will remain steady through the weekend before
increasing next week as the ridge builds into the area.
- Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:
Main area of uncertainty in the forecast is with thunderstorms
today and whether or not they are able to produce gusty winds in
excess of 60 mph. Current radar and satellite is showing the
storms begin to develop across western Montana, and while I do
expect these to continue to move eastward, their strength and
organization may be hampered by a large area of convective
inhibition (CIN, also known as a capping inversion) that remains
thanks to some stubborn cloud cover earlier in the day. With this
said, DCAPE (a measure of the potential for air to be cooled by
rainfall) is quite high across the region, which indicates that
some sporadic gusts in excess of 50 mph will be possible, even in
the absence of a stronger storm. Ludwig&&
.AVIATION...
26/18Z TAF Period
VFR conditions will prevail across all terminals during this TAF
period. The primary concern during this TAF period is isolated
strong to severe thunderstorms between 16/20Z and 17/03Z. All
thunderstorms will produce small hail, frequent lightning, and
gusty, erratic winds. The strongest thunderstorms have the potential
to produce wind gusts in excess of 48 kts. At the end of this TAF
period at the KGTF, KHLN, and KBZN terminals there is a 20 - 40%
chance for showers and thunderstorms. During any thunderstorm there
will be a brief period of mountain obscuration. -IG
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 55 81 51 79 / 30 30 0 0
CTB 54 73 49 73 / 10 10 0 10
HLN 54 81 53 79 / 30 40 0 0
BZN 50 85 49 82 / 20 30 10 10
WYS 39 75 40 74 / 0 20 10 20
DLN 49 81 47 81 / 10 20 10 10
HVR 56 83 54 80 / 20 10 0 10
LWT 51 75 51 75 / 50 40 20 10
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
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